The recent performance of Hong Kong stocks and US stocks has been incredibly hot! The stocks I hold have been soaring, almost unbelievably. Even after selling them, they keep going up, unstoppable! Take Pop Mart in Hong Kong, for example. Look at how Wang Ning became a billionaire – isn't it because blind boxes are selling like crazy? Can a toy really make someone rich overnight? But you have to admit, Pop Mart has indeed made a lot of people money, hundreds of thousands or even millions, depending on how much you bought. So, Pop Mart is definitely one of the strongest stocks in Hong Kong.
Netflix in the US is the same, rising happily, simply unstoppable. I thought it was nearing resistance, but it kept pushing higher, even hitting new highs! Microsoft is the same, reaching historical highs.
Is this a bull market? Definitely a bull market! However, it's not that easy to jump into this bull market. Many stocks have already flown high, hitting resistance directly, making it difficult to add positions, let alone buy.
The good news is that some stocks haven't really started to rise yet. For example, Amazon hasn't really broken new highs. Recently, you can see some blue arrow signals, indicating that it's not as strong as the stocks mentioned earlier, but at least it's not that expensive.
Google is also one that hasn't moved much. If some friends are more conservative and want to find stocks that haven't really risen too much, then Google and Amazon could be considered.
Of course, there's also a more exciting stock, which is Tesla, with its ups and downs. It also hasn't risen much. However, you might have missed those that have truly risen, and many are small-cap stocks. If you've traded small-cap stocks, you'll find that the current market is a bit crazy, with too many stocks surging higher.
You see, some stocks have risen directly from 200+ to 300+, an increase of 50%-60% in just one month. In this kind of market, apart from breakout signals at the top, it's basically difficult to enter, because there's no real pullback. Look at Core Weave, it's up 300% in just over a month!
So, there are many situations like this now, like Shake Shack, the American burger brand, and CLS, these haven't started running yet. Those approaching the blue arrow are considered not really started. Roblox is also, there was a resistance level, but it ignored it and broke through directly.
Overall, there are many such stocks now, representing that the current market is still a bull market. However, for those that have already gone up, we usually have to wait for them to pull back, wait for them to test the support level, before considering whether to enter.
So at this time, if you have 30% cash on hand, it's not wrong. 70% invested, 30% cash, in my opinion, there's no problem. If you've already taken profits and have some cash, I think you can wait, wait for a better entry point, and then enter.
Some friends may ask, for example, about the stock MARA. I think there are many stocks that you need to be careful about, which haven't risen during this period. If it hasn't risen in the last two or three months, it's a bit dangerous. Because the entire market has been strong in the last two or three months, if this stock hasn't risen, it's not the best in the entire market.
For example, AMD, in the semiconductor sector, it's considered the worst. The other stocks, NVIDIA, Broadcom, the strongest ones, have all risen, but it hasn't moved much.
| Company Name | Price Action |
|---|---|
| NVIDIA | Already Risen |
| Broadcom | Already Risen, Strongest |
| AMD | Not Risen, Worst |
So, if the market falls, will AMD fall faster? Will it? Therefore, we won't put most of our money on the worst stocks. We try not to put most of our money on the worst stocks.
Remember, APLD has also flown high. Be careful with SMI100, because last time with SMI100, it came down after a while. So be especially careful with SMI100, take profits.
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