Hello everyone, I'm XX. Today, let's talk about the recent confusing China-U.S. negotiations. On the surface, high-level meetings are held, handshakes are exchanged, and everything looks promising. But is that really the case? Today, I'm going to reveal a shocking truth!
You might find it strange, where did I get the news? To be honest, I know a lot of grassroots friends in Beijing. Although they don't have access to core secrets, they are very clear about the implementation of policies! This news comes from a taxi driver, his words are often more real than the news broadcast!
Recently, China and the United States held another round of talks in London. The Chinese side sent heavyweight figures such as Vice Premier He Lifeng and Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao, while the U.S. side sent Treasury Secretary Yellen and Commerce Secretary Raimondo. The official press releases all said that the talks went well, a framework agreement was reached, and the prospects were bright.
Is that really the case? My taxi driver friend told me that it's complete nonsense! No substantial agreement has been reached at all.
The Truth Behind the Negotiations: A Carefully Planned Performance?
Why do I say that? Because if a real agreement was reached, there would definitely be action at the grassroots level. To implement the agreement, policies need to be adjusted, tasks need to be deployed, and grassroots staff will definitely be busy. However, there is no movement in Beijing now, everything remains the same.
What does this mean? It means that the so-called negotiation is just a performance! Both sides are acting, for their own interests.
- China's Strategy: Delaying Time, Firmly De-Americanizing
In my friend's words, China is now using the "delaying tactic". No matter what the United States says or does, China is following its established policy: developing its own chips, developing its own aircraft engines, and firmly de-Americanizing.
In my opinion, national security is the most important thing.
- The U.S. Strategy: A Delaying Tactic, Gaining Time to Develop Domestic Industries
What about the United States? They are also playing their own game. They also want to develop their own rare earth industry, but it takes time. In the next two or three years, they hope that China will continue to supply rare earths to help them get through it. Once the United States can replace China's rare earths, it will immediately abandon China.
In short, both sides are using each other and guarding against each other.
Trump's "Agreement": A Beautiful Misunderstanding?
Trump recently posted on social media, saying that the China-U.S. agreement has been finalized, and he and the leader are just waiting for the final decision. He also said that China will give all the magnets and rare earths to the United States in advance, and the United States will also give China what it should give according to the agreement, including allowing Chinese students to continue to attend American universities.
Is that really the case? I can only say that Trump may have been fooled. He may not understand China's current needs at all.
Does China really need American chips now? Does it really need American aircraft engines? Does it really need Chinese students to go to the United States to "study"? The answers are all no!
What China needs most now is autonomous and controllable technology, the ability to get rid of the U.S.'s stranglehold. Therefore, exchanging rare earths for chips, or exchanging rare earths for international students, is unrealistic.
Taiwan Issue: The Last Chip in China-U.S. Negotiations?
If Trump has any cards left to play, it is the Taiwan issue. However, there was no progress on the Taiwan issue in the London negotiations.
Now, public opinion in Taiwan is also quietly changing. More and more Taiwanese people are beginning to accept the mainland, and even feel that there is nothing wrong with being unified with the mainland. This shows that the Taiwan card is also becoming increasingly difficult to play.
The Future of China-U.S. Relations: A "Breakup" That Is Destined to Happen?
In short, based on the information I have received so far, there is no substantial progress in China-U.S. negotiations. Both sides are delaying time and planning for their own interests.
This negotiation is like a "breakup" that is destined to happen. Both sides are trying to maintain superficial peace, but deep down, they know that this day will come sooner or later.
Where will China-U.S. relations go in the future? We will wait and see!
Finally, let's make a simple data summary in the form of a table:
| Negotiation Time | Location | Results (Grassroots Perspective) | China's Strategy | U.S. Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12th | Geneva | No Progress | Delaying Time | Delaying Tactic |
| June 10th | London | No Progress | De-Americanization | Developing Domestic Industries |